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中东紧张局势推高能源价格 德国消费者信心降至数月低位

NIM最新研报指,德国GfK消费者信心指数近期大幅下滑,5月预测值从-28.1骤降至-33.3,创下自2023年2月以来的最低水平,表明德国零售市场的深度疲软。下面请看相关双语报道。Consumer confidence in Germany dropped unexpectedly sharply, dragged down by rising energy p

NIM最新研报指,德国GfK消费者信心指数近期大幅下滑,5月预测值从-28.1骤降至-33.3,创下自2023年2月以来的最低水平,表明德国零售市场的深度疲软。下面请看相关双语报道。

Consumer confidence in Germany dropped unexpectedly sharply, dragged down by rising energy prices as tensions escalated in the Middle East.

受中东紧张局势升级导致能源价格上涨拖累,德国消费者信心出人意料地大幅下降。

Germany's consumer-climate index, published Friday by the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions and GfK, fell to minus 30.6 in its forecast for October, its lowest level since May, from minus 26.8 in September. Economists polled last week by The Wall Street Journal expected a smaller decline to minus 27.2.

纽伦堡市场决策研究所(NIM)和GfK周五公布的德国消费者信心指数显示,10月预期降至负30.6,为5月以来最低水平,9月为负26.8。 上周接受《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家此前预计降幅较小,为负27.2。

"The majority of households expect high energy prices to reduce their purchasing power," said Rolf Buerkl, head of the survey at NIM. "As a result, they are more skeptical about their income expectations for the next twelve months."

NIM调查负责人罗尔夫·比尔克尔表示:“大多数家庭预计高能源价格将削弱其购买力。 因此,他们对未来十二个月收入预期的看法更加悲观。”

Expectations for personal incomes declined to their lowest since April, shortly before a temporary tax rebate for fuel introduced by the German government in the aftermath of the start of the war in Iran. The survey also showed an increase in households' willingness to save.

个人收入预期降至4月以来最低水平,当时德国政府在伊朗战争爆发后不久推出了临时燃油税减免政策。 调查还显示,家庭储蓄意愿有所上升。

Oil prices spiked earlier this month after renewed U.S. strikes on Iran. Higher energy prices across the eurozone in recent months were among the reasons that prompted the European central Bank to raise its key interest rate.

本月早些时候,美国再次对伊朗发动打击后,油价飙升。 近几个月来欧元区能源价格上涨,是促使欧洲央行加息的原因之一。

German consumer sentiment has been sharply negative since 2022, shortly after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine that sent energy prices upward, hitting households and businesses.

自2022年俄乌战争爆发导致能源价格飙升、冲击家庭和企业以来,德国消费者信心一直严重低迷。

The decline in confidence comes despite the Ifo Institute's business sentiment index on Thursday rising to a more-than-three-year high. A leading group of German economists on Thursday also nearly doubled their growth forecasts for this year compared with their March projections.

消费者信心下降之际,Ifo研究所周四公布的商业景气指数却升至三年多来最高水平。 德国一个主要经济学家团体周四也将今年的增长预期较3月预测几乎翻倍。

"German consumers don't share the resilience story other leading indicators have been telling us lately," said Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING. "At least someone is reacting to surging energy prices and interest rates."

ING经济学家卡斯滕·布热斯基表示:“德国消费者并不认同其他领先指标近来告诉我们的韧性叙事。 至少有人在对飙升的能源价格和利率做出反应。”

Meanwhile, consumer sentiment in the U.K. edged higher as perceptions of personal finances and the economy improved, data also published Friday showed.

与此同时,周五公布的数据还显示,英国消费者信心小幅上升,因个人财务状况和经济前景的看法有所改善。

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中东紧张局势推高能源价格 德国消费者信心降至数月低位

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